Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 19 pts73%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
23W/ 37G
90% confidence
24W/ 37G
99% confidence
26W/ 37G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 18 pts45%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 37G
90% confidence
20W/ 37G
99% confidence
21W/ 37G
Leicester
# 03 · 16 pts43%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 37G
90% confidence
21W/ 37G
99% confidence
22W/ 37G
Preston
# 04 · 16 pts40%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 37G
90% confidence
21W/ 37G
99% confidence
22W/ 37G
Stoke City
# 05 · 15 pts42%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 37G
90% confidence
21W/ 37G
99% confidence
22W/ 37G
QPR
# 06 · 15 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 37G
90% confidence
21W/ 37G
99% confidence
22W/ 37G
West Brom
# 07 · 14 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 37G
90% confidence
21W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Millwall
# 08 · 14 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 37G
90% confidence
21W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Ipswich
# 09 · 14 pts40%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 37G
90% confidence
21W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Bristol City
# 10 · 13 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 37G
90% confidence
22W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Watford
# 11 · 12 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 37G
90% confidence
22W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Swansea
# 12 · 12 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 37G
90% confidence
22W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Charlton
# 13 · 12 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 37G
90% confidence
22W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Portsmouth
# 14 · 12 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 37G
90% confidence
22W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Hull City
# 15 · 12 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 37G
90% confidence
22W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Birmingham
# 16 · 12 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 37G
90% confidence
22W/ 37G
99% confidence
23W/ 37G
Southampton
# 17 · 11 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 37G
90% confidence
22W/ 37G
99% confidence
24W/ 37G
Wrexham
# 18 · 10 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
21%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 37G
90% confidence
23W/ 37G
99% confidence
24W/ 37G
Norwich
# 19 · 8 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 37G
90% confidence
23W/ 37G
99% confidence
25W/ 37G
Blackburn
# 20 · 8 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
29%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 37G
90% confidence
23W/ 37G
99% confidence
25W/ 37G
Derby
# 21 · 8 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
25%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 37G
90% confidence
23W/ 37G
99% confidence
25W/ 37G
Oxford United
# 22 · 6 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 37G
90% confidence
24W/ 37G
99% confidence
25W/ 37G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 23 · 6 pts81%Escape Relegation
REL
81%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
14W/ 37G
90% confidence
15W/ 37G
99% confidence
16W/ 37G
Sheffield Utd
# 24 · 3 pts68%Escape Relegation
REL
68%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
15W/ 37G
90% confidence
16W/ 37G
99% confidence
17W/ 37G