Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Stoke City
# 01 · 29 pts38%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
21W/ 31G
Birmingham
# 02 · 29 pts41%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
21W/ 31G
Middlesbrough
# 03 · 29 pts38%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
21W/ 31G
Southampton
# 04 · 28 pts44%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
21W/ 31G
Wolves
# 05 · 28 pts37%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
21W/ 31G
West Brom
# 06 · 28 pts36%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 31G
90% confidence
19W/ 31G
99% confidence
21W/ 31G
Swansea
# 07 · 26 pts36%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
QPR
# 08 · 24 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
West Ham
# 09 · 23 pts35%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Sheffield Utd
# 10 · 22 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Portsmouth
# 11 · 22 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Norwich
# 12 · 21 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Blackburn
# 13 · 21 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
3%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 31G
90% confidence
21W/ 31G
99% confidence
23W/ 31G
Millwall
# 14 · 18 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
3%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
25W/ 31G
Bristol City
# 15 · 18 pts14%Escape Relegation
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 31G
90% confidence
9W/ 31G
99% confidence
11W/ 31G
Cardiff
# 16 · 18 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
22W/ 31G
99% confidence
25W/ 31G
Wrexham
# 17 · 18 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
22W/ 31G
99% confidence
25W/ 31G
Bolton
# 18 · 17 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 31G
90% confidence
23W/ 31G
99% confidence
25W/ 31G
Charlton
# 19 · 17 pts17%Escape Relegation
REL
17%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 31G
90% confidence
11W/ 31G
99% confidence
11W/ 31G
Watford
# 20 · 15 pts31%Escape Relegation
REL
31%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 31G
90% confidence
11W/ 31G
99% confidence
11W/ 31G
Lincoln
# 21 · 15 pts32%Escape Relegation
REL
32%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 31G
90% confidence
10W/ 31G
99% confidence
15W/ 31G
Derby
# 22 · 10 pts66%Escape Relegation
REL
66%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 31G
90% confidence
12W/ 31G
99% confidence
13W/ 31G
Burnley
# 23 · 10 pts28%Escape Relegation
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 31G
90% confidence
15W/ 31G
99% confidence
15W/ 31G
Preston
# 24 · 8 pts77%Escape Relegation
REL
77%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 31G
90% confidence
13W/ 31G
99% confidence
15W/ 31G