Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Swansea
# 01 · 11 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
25W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 10 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
QPR
# 03 · 10 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Bristol City
# 04 · 10 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
West Brom
# 05 · 10 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Charlton
# 06 · 10 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Millwall
# 07 · 9 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Southampton
# 08 · 8 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 41G
90% confidence
27W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
West Ham
# 09 · 8 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 41G
90% confidence
26W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Wolves
# 10 · 8 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 41G
90% confidence
27W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Birmingham
# 11 · 7 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
12%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 41G
90% confidence
27W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Norwich
# 12 · 6 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
12%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 41G
90% confidence
27W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Stoke City
# 13 · 6 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 41G
90% confidence
27W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Portsmouth
# 14 · 6 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 41G
90% confidence
27W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Wrexham
# 15 · 6 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
12%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 41G
90% confidence
27W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Sheffield Utd
# 16 · 6 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 41G
90% confidence
27W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Blackburn
# 17 · 5 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
27W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Lincoln
# 18 · 5 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
27W/ 41G
90% confidence
27W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Watford
# 19 · 5 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
27W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Derby
# 20 · 4 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
17%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
27W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Bolton
# 21 · 4 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
27W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Preston
# 22 · 3 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
21%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
27W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Cardiff
# 23 · 3 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
18%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
27W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G
Burnley
# 24 · 2 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
22%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
28W/ 41G
90% confidence
30W/ 41G
99% confidence
30W/ 41G