Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
West Ham
# 01 · 14 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
26W/ 39G
Southampton
# 02 · 14 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
26W/ 39G
Swansea
# 03 · 14 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
26W/ 39G
West Brom
# 04 · 14 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
26W/ 39G
Middlesbrough
# 05 · 13 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 40G
90% confidence
25W/ 40G
99% confidence
27W/ 40G
QPR
# 06 · 12 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
26W/ 39G
Charlton
# 07 · 12 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
26W/ 39G
Wolves
# 08 · 11 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 40G
90% confidence
25W/ 40G
99% confidence
27W/ 40G
Stoke City
# 09 · 10 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 39G
90% confidence
29W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Bristol City
# 10 · 10 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 40G
90% confidence
25W/ 40G
99% confidence
27W/ 40G
Birmingham
# 11 · 10 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 39G
90% confidence
29W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Norwich
# 12 · 9 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 39G
90% confidence
25W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Millwall
# 13 · 9 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 40G
90% confidence
25W/ 40G
99% confidence
27W/ 40G
Sheffield Utd
# 14 · 9 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 39G
90% confidence
25W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Blackburn
# 15 · 8 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 39G
90% confidence
26W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Lincoln
# 16 · 8 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 40G
90% confidence
27W/ 40G
99% confidence
27W/ 40G
Watford
# 17 · 8 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 39G
90% confidence
26W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Portsmouth
# 18 · 7 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 40G
90% confidence
30W/ 40G
99% confidence
30W/ 40G
Bolton
# 19 · 7 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
18%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 39G
90% confidence
26W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Wrexham
# 20 · 7 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 39G
90% confidence
26W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Derby
# 21 · 4 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
25%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 39G
90% confidence
29W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Cardiff
# 22 · 4 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
22%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 39G
90% confidence
29W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Preston
# 23 · 3 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
28%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
27W/ 39G
90% confidence
27W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G
Burnley
# 24 · 3 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
25%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 39G
90% confidence
29W/ 39G
99% confidence
29W/ 39G