Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Swansea
# 01 · 17 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
23W/ 38G
West Ham
# 02 · 15 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
Middlesbrough
# 03 · 15 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
Southampton
# 04 · 14 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
Wolves
# 05 · 14 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
24W/ 39G
West Brom
# 06 · 14 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
Stoke City
# 07 · 13 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
25W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
Bristol City
# 08 · 13 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
QPR
# 09 · 13 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
Charlton
# 10 · 12 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
25W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Millwall
# 11 · 11 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
28W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Lincoln
# 12 · 11 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
28W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Birmingham
# 13 · 11 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
28W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Bolton
# 14 · 10 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 38G
90% confidence
24W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Wrexham
# 15 · 10 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
12%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 38G
90% confidence
24W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Norwich
# 16 · 9 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 38G
90% confidence
25W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Blackburn
# 17 · 9 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 38G
90% confidence
25W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Sheffield Utd
# 18 · 9 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 38G
90% confidence
25W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Portsmouth
# 19 · 8 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 39G
90% confidence
26W/ 39G
99% confidence
27W/ 39G
Watford
# 20 · 8 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
17%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 38G
90% confidence
25W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Cardiff
# 21 · 7 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
19%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 38G
90% confidence
25W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Derby
# 22 · 5 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
25%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 38G
90% confidence
28W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Preston
# 23 · 4 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
29%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 38G
90% confidence
26W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G
Burnley
# 24 · 4 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
28%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
26W/ 38G
90% confidence
26W/ 38G
99% confidence
28W/ 38G