ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 03

Bolton

Pts

3

MP

1

W

1

GD

+1

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
9%

Probability — Bolton

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
39Wins/ 45
90% confidence
45Wins/ 45
99% confidence
45Wins/ 45

ProbFut AI Analysis

Bolton opened with a 2-1 home win over Preston and sit third. With 45 matches left they need 39 wins at the p75 level for promotion because the table is still forming and a strong start must be converted into sustained results. Their next match is away to QPR on 2026-08-22.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Bolton's chances of achieving Promotion?
Bolton has a 8.8% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bolton need for Promotion?
Bolton needs 45 wins in 45 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.