ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 22

Derby

Pts

5

MP

8

W

1

GD

-7

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
75% confidence
14Wins
90% confidence
14Wins
99% confidence
19Wins
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.3%
31Wins
75% confidence
Promotion Playoff
Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.9%
25Wins
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Derby sit 22nd on 5 points following a 1-1 away draw with fellow strugglers Burnley. The Rams carry a 25% relegation risk and must target 14 wins from their remaining 38 matches at the 75% confidence mark to escape the drop zone. Derby return to home turf against Wrexham on 2026-10-10 needing to convert performances into all 3 points.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
9(WRE)
1.46
10(QPR)
1.01
11(STO)
1.44
12(SHE)
1.11
13(MIL)
1.08