ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 14

Bolton

Pts

10

MP

8

W

3

GD

-4

Primary Objective

Promotion Playoff

Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.
15%

Probability — Bolton

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
24Wins/ 38
90% confidence
24Wins/ 38
99% confidence
28Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

A thrilling 4-3 victory away at Norwich lifted Bolton to 14th place on 10 points. That victory shaved 4% off their relegation probability, taking it down to 14%, while leaving their target at 12 wins from 38 matches to ensure survival at the 75% mark. Bolton return home to face Stoke City on 2026-10-10 seeking to extend their positive momentum.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Bolton's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Bolton has a 14.6% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bolton need for Promotion Playoff?
Bolton needs 24 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.