ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 03

Bolton

Pts

3

MP

1

W

1

GD

+1

Primary Objective

Promotion Playoff

Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.
17%

Probability — Bolton

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
31Wins/ 45
90% confidence
33Wins/ 45
99% confidence
36Wins/ 45

ProbFut AI Analysis

Bolton opened with a 2-1 home win over Preston and sit third. With 45 matches left they need 39 wins at the p75 level for promotion because the table is still forming and a strong start must be converted into sustained results. Their next match is away to QPR on 2026-08-22.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Bolton's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Bolton has a 17.1% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bolton need for Promotion Playoff?
Bolton needs 33 wins in 45 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.