Championship · 2026/27 · # 22
Derby
Pts
5
MP
8
W
1
GD
-7
Primary Objective
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.3%
Probability — Derby
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
31Wins/ 38
90% confidence
33Wins/ 38
99% confidence
38Wins/ 38
ProbFut AI Analysis
Derby sit 22nd on 5 points following a 1-1 away draw with fellow strugglers Burnley. The Rams carry a 25% relegation risk and must target 14 wins from their remaining 38 matches at the 75% confidence mark to escape the drop zone. Derby return to home turf against Wrexham on 2026-10-10 needing to convert performances into all 3 points.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Derby's chances of achieving Promotion?
Derby has a 2.6% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Derby need for Promotion?
Derby needs 33 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.