Championship · 2026/27 · # 22
Derby
Pts
5
MP
8
W
1
GD
-7
Primary Objective
Promotion Playoff
Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.9%
Probability — Derby
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
25Wins/ 38
90% confidence
28Wins/ 38
99% confidence
28Wins/ 38
ProbFut AI Analysis
Derby sit 22nd on 5 points following a 1-1 away draw with fellow strugglers Burnley. The Rams carry a 25% relegation risk and must target 14 wins from their remaining 38 matches at the 75% confidence mark to escape the drop zone. Derby return to home turf against Wrexham on 2026-10-10 needing to convert performances into all 3 points.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Derby's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Derby has a 9.0% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Derby need for Promotion Playoff?
Derby needs 28 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.