What are Lille's chances of achieving Europa League?

Lille has a 18.5% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Lille need for Europa League?

Lille needs 4 wins in 6 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Ligue 1

Season 2025

3th place·50 points·Current Elo: 1544

Europa League

18%

Lille has a 18% chance of qualifying for the Europa League and needs 3 wins in 6 remaining matches.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Europa League	3/6	4/6	4/6

Expected points: 61

5659616366

P5P25P50P75P95

...