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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 63 pts
93%
Champion
1st
93%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Lens
# 02 · 59 pts
7%
Champion
1st
7%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Lille
# 03 · 53 pts
85%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
85%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
Marseille
# 04 · 52 pts
58%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
58%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
Lyon
# 05 · 51 pts
31%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
29%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
Rennes
# 06 · 50 pts
25%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
15%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
Monaco
# 07 · 49 pts
30%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
12%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
Strasbourg
# 08 · 43 pts
7%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Lorient
# 09 · 38 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Toulouse
# 10 · 37 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Stade Brestois 29
# 11 · 36 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Paris FC
# 12 · 35 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
Angers
# 13 · 33 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
Le Havre
# 14 · 29 pts
7%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 5G
Nice
# 15 · 28 pts
22%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
Auxerre
# 16 · 24 pts
64%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
7%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 5G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 5G
Nantes
# 17 · 19 pts
5%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
94%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Metz
# 18 · 15 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
98%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—