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Magic Numbers — Ligue 1 2025 | ProbFut
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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
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Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 76 pts
99%
Champion
1st
✓
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
Lens
# 02 · 70 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
Lille
# 03 · 61 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
Lyon
# 04 · 60 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
Marseille
# 05 · 59 pts
99%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
Rennes
# 06 · 59 pts
99%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
Monaco
# 07 · 54 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Strasbourg
# 08 · 53 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Lorient
# 09 · 45 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Toulouse
# 10 · 44 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Paris FC
# 11 · 44 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Stade Brestois 29
# 12 · 39 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Angers
# 13 · 36 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Le Havre
# 14 · 35 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Auxerre
# 15 · 34 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Nice
# 16 · 32 pts
99%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
Nantes
# 17 · 23 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Metz
# 18 · 17 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 0G
Saint Etienne
# 19 · 0 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Rodez
# 20 · 0 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
RED Star FC 93
# 21 · 0 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—