What are Monaco's chances of achieving Europa League?

Monaco has a 25.3% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Monaco need for Europa League?

Monaco needs 5 wins in 7 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Ligue 1

Season 2025

7th place·46 points·Current Elo: 1542

Europa League

25%

Monaco has a 25% chance of qualifying for the Europa League and needs 5 wins in 7 remaining matches.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Europa League	5/7	5/7	7/7

Expected points: 58

5256586064

P5P25P50P75P95

...