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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 24 pts
91%
Champions League
1st
37%
UCL
91%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
Marseille
# 02 · 22 pts
94%
Champions League
1st
43%
UCL
94%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Lens
# 03 · 22 pts
36%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
36%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Lille
# 04 · 20 pts
67%
Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
67%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Monaco
# 05 · 20 pts
19%
Conference League
1st
1%
UCL
15%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
Lyon
# 06 · 20 pts
32%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
32%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Strasbourg
# 07 · 19 pts
60%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
60%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Nice
# 08 · 17 pts
8%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Toulouse
# 09 · 15 pts
4%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Rennes
# 10 · 15 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
1%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Paris FC
# 11 · 14 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Le Havre
# 12 · 13 pts
3%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
Stade Brestois 29
# 13 · 10 pts
5%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
Angers
# 14 · 10 pts
14%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
10%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
Nantes
# 15 · 9 pts
18%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
14%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
Lorient
# 16 · 9 pts
28%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
24%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
Metz
# 17 · 8 pts
15%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
74%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
9
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
Auxerre
# 18 · 7 pts
16%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
74%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
9
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G