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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 30 pts
98%
Champions League
1st
32%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Marseille
# 02 · 28 pts
62%
Champion
1st
62%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
Lens
# 03 · 28 pts
88%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
88%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Lille
# 04 · 23 pts
43%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
43%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 21G
Strasbourg
# 05 · 22 pts
57%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
57%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 21G
Lyon
# 06 · 21 pts
30%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
9%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Rennes
# 07 · 21 pts
23%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Monaco
# 08 · 20 pts
8%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Nice
# 09 · 17 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Toulouse
# 10 · 16 pts
3%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 21G
Angers
# 11 · 16 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 21G
Paris FC
# 12 · 14 pts
4%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
Le Havre
# 13 · 14 pts
8%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
Stade Brestois 29
# 14 · 13 pts
7%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
Metz
# 15 · 11 pts
23%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
48%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
Nantes
# 16 · 11 pts
21%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
27%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
Lorient
# 17 · 11 pts
24%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
28%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
Auxerre
# 18 · 8 pts
9%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
86%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
9
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 21G