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Ligue 1
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Magic Numbers
Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Lens
# 01 · 43 pts
43%
Champion
1st
43%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 16G
Paris Saint Germain
# 02 · 42 pts
48%
Champion
1st
48%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
13
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 16G
Marseille
# 03 · 35 pts
97%
Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
Lyon
# 04 · 33 pts
43%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
43%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 16G
Lille
# 05 · 32 pts
49%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
49%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 16G
Rennes
# 06 · 31 pts
33%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
7%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
Strasbourg
# 07 · 27 pts
25%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
Toulouse
# 08 · 26 pts
12%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
Monaco
# 09 · 23 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 16G
Stade Brestois 29
# 10 · 22 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 16G
Angers
# 11 · 22 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
Lorient
# 12 · 22 pts
4%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
Paris FC
# 13 · 19 pts
9%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
Le Havre
# 14 · 19 pts
8%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
Nice
# 15 · 18 pts
10%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
Nantes
# 16 · 14 pts
27%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
48%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
Auxerre
# 17 · 12 pts
24%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
61%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 16G
Metz
# 18 · 12 pts
17%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
75%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 16G