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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 45 pts
63%
Champion
1st
63%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 15G
Lens
# 02 · 43 pts
24%
Champion
1st
24%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
13
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 15G
Marseille
# 03 · 38 pts
98%
Champions League
1st
13%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
Lyon
# 04 · 36 pts
66%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
66%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
Lille
# 05 · 32 pts
34%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
18%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
Rennes
# 06 · 31 pts
13%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
Strasbourg
# 07 · 30 pts
30%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
14%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 15G
Toulouse
# 08 · 29 pts
19%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
Lorient
# 09 · 25 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 15G
Monaco
# 10 · 24 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 15G
Angers
# 11 · 23 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 15G
Stade Brestois 29
# 12 · 22 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 15G
Nice
# 13 · 21 pts
4%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 15G
Paris FC
# 14 · 20 pts
9%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 15G
Le Havre
# 15 · 20 pts
10%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 15G
Nantes
# 16 · 14 pts
35%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
50%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 15G
Auxerre
# 17 · 12 pts
25%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
64%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 15G
Metz
# 18 · 12 pts
16%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
80%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 15G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 15G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 15G