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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 57 pts
91%
Champion
1st
91%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
Lens
# 02 · 53 pts
9%
Champion
1st
9%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
—
Lyon
# 03 · 45 pts
79%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
79%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
Marseille
# 04 · 43 pts
90%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
90%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
Lille
# 05 · 40 pts
25%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
7%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
Rennes
# 06 · 40 pts
30%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
16%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
Monaco
# 07 · 37 pts
11%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
Strasbourg
# 08 · 35 pts
19%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
5%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
Stade Brestois 29
# 09 · 33 pts
10%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
Lorient
# 10 · 33 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
Toulouse
# 11 · 31 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
Angers
# 12 · 29 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 10G
Le Havre
# 13 · 26 pts
5%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
Paris FC
# 14 · 26 pts
4%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
Nice
# 15 · 24 pts
9%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 10G
Auxerre
# 16 · 18 pts
51%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
35%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
Nantes
# 17 · 17 pts
29%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
65%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
Metz
# 18 · 13 pts
3%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
97%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 10G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 10G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 10G