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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 60 pts
83%
Champion
1st
83%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
Lens
# 02 · 59 pts
17%
Champion
1st
17%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Marseille
# 03 · 49 pts
83%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
83%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Lyon
# 04 · 47 pts
29%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
29%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Lille
# 05 · 47 pts
42%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
42%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Monaco
# 06 · 46 pts
37%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
37%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Rennes
# 07 · 44 pts
20%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
7%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Strasbourg
# 08 · 40 pts
9%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Toulouse
# 09 · 37 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
—
Lorient
# 10 · 37 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Stade Brestois 29
# 11 · 36 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Angers
# 12 · 32 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
0
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 7G
Paris FC
# 13 · 31 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Nice
# 14 · 27 pts
13%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Le Havre
# 15 · 27 pts
11%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 7G
Auxerre
# 16 · 22 pts
64%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
11%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Nantes
# 17 · 17 pts
10%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
90%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
Metz
# 18 · 14 pts
2%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
98%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G