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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 63 pts
93%
Champion
1st
93%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
Lens
# 02 · 59 pts
7%
Champion
1st
7%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Lille
# 03 · 50 pts
66%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
66%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Marseille
# 04 · 49 pts
53%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
53%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Monaco
# 05 · 49 pts
47%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
47%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Lyon
# 06 · 48 pts
26%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
17%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
Rennes
# 07 · 47 pts
22%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
15%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Strasbourg
# 08 · 43 pts
7%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Lorient
# 09 · 38 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Toulouse
# 10 · 37 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Stade Brestois 29
# 11 · 36 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Angers
# 12 · 33 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
0
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
Paris FC
# 13 · 32 pts
1%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
0
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 6G
Le Havre
# 14 · 28 pts
14%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
Nice
# 15 · 27 pts
19%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 6G
Auxerre
# 16 · 23 pts
56%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
11%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
Nantes
# 17 · 18 pts
9%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
89%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 7G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 7G
Metz
# 18 · 15 pts
2%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
98%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 6G
99% confidence
—