Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 20 pts85%Champions League
1st
42%
UCL
85%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
Lens
# 02 · 19 pts64%Champions League
1st
15%
UCL
64%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Marseille
# 03 · 18 pts59%Champions League
1st
14%
UCL
59%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Lyon
# 04 · 18 pts44%Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
44%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Lille
# 05 · 17 pts49%Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
49%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Monaco
# 06 · 17 pts28%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
28%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Strasbourg
# 07 · 16 pts33%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
33%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
18W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Nice
# 08 · 14 pts13%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
13%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 25G
90% confidence
16W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Toulouse
# 09 · 13 pts11%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 25G
90% confidence
18W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Rennes
# 10 · 11 pts4%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
4%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 25G
90% confidence
17W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Paris FC
# 11 · 10 pts2%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
2%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 25G
90% confidence
18W/ 25G
99% confidence
19W/ 25G
Stade Brestois 29
# 12 · 9 pts3%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
8%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17W/ 25G
90% confidence
17W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Nantes
# 13 · 9 pts3%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
6%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
16W/ 25G
90% confidence
16W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Le Havre
# 14 · 9 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
15%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
16W/ 25G
90% confidence
16W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Angers
# 15 · 9 pts2%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
10%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
16W/ 25G
90% confidence
16W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Lorient
# 16 · 8 pts18%Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
45%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
10W/ 25G
90% confidence
10W/ 25G
99% confidence
12W/ 25G
Auxerre
# 17 · 7 pts1%Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
26%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
16W/ 25G
90% confidence
18W/ 25G
99% confidence
18W/ 25G
Metz
# 18 · 2 pts9%Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
77%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
12W/ 25G
90% confidence
12W/ 25G
99% confidence
25W/ 25G