What are Burnley's chances of achieving Relegation?

Burnley has a 99.9% probability of achieving Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Burnley need for Relegation?

Burnley needs 7 wins in 7 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Premier League

Season 2025

19th place·20 points·Current Elo: 1399

Relegation

99%

Burnley has a 99% chance of being relegated and needs 6 wins in 7 remaining matches to escape relegation.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Relegation	6/7	7/7	—

Expected points: 25

2123252730

P5P25P50P75P95

...