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R38
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Magic Numbers
Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Home
Premier League
Arsenal
# 01 · 85 pts
84%
Champion
1st
84%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
Manchester City
# 02 · 78 pts
16%
Champion
1st
16%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Manchester United
# 03 · 71 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 2G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 2G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 2G
Aston Villa
# 04 · 65 pts
92%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
92%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 2G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 2G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 2G
Liverpool
# 05 · 60 pts
97%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 2G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 2G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 2G
Bournemouth
# 06 · 57 pts
54%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
10%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
1
W
/ 2G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
Sunderland
# 07 · 54 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Brighton
# 08 · 53 pts
37%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
1
W
/ 2G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
Brentford
# 09 · 53 pts
20%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Fulham
# 10 · 52 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Chelsea
# 11 · 52 pts
5%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Newcastle
# 12 · 49 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Everton
# 13 · 49 pts
8%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Leeds
# 14 · 47 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Crystal Palace
# 15 · 45 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Nottingham Forest
# 16 · 44 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Tottenham
# 17 · 41 pts
28%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1
W
/ 2G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 2G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
West Ham
# 18 · 39 pts
72%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
72%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 2G
99% confidence
—
Burnley
# 19 · 22 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Wolves
# 20 · 20 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
