What are Chelsea's chances of achieving Europa League?

Chelsea has a 21.4% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Chelsea need for Europa League?

Chelsea needs 5 wins in 7 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Premier League

Season 2025

6th place·48 points·Current Elo: 1542

Europa League

21%

Chelsea has a 21% chance of qualifying for the Europa League and needs 5 wins in 7 remaining matches.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Europa League	5/7	5/7	7/7

Expected points: 59

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