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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 26 pts
86%
Champion
1st
86%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
19
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
27
W
/ 27G
Manchester City
# 02 · 22 pts
98%
Champions League
1st
12%
UCL
98%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Chelsea
# 03 · 20 pts
66%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
66%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Sunderland
# 04 · 19 pts
8%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
8%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Liverpool
# 05 · 18 pts
13%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
13%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Tottenham
# 06 · 18 pts
63%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
63%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Aston Villa
# 07 · 18 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Manchester United
# 08 · 18 pts
14%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
14%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Bournemouth
# 09 · 18 pts
11%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
8%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Crystal Palace
# 10 · 17 pts
18%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
18%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Brentford
# 11 · 16 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Brighton
# 12 · 16 pts
6%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Everton
# 13 · 15 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 27G
Newcastle
# 14 · 12 pts
9%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
9%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
Fulham
# 15 · 11 pts
2%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
Leeds
# 16 · 11 pts
35%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
35%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
Burnley
# 17 · 10 pts
31%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
31%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
West Ham
# 18 · 10 pts
38%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
38%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
Nottingham Forest
# 19 · 9 pts
83%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
83%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
27
W
/ 27G