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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 29 pts
95%
Champion
1st
95%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
18
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
26
W
/ 26G
Chelsea
# 02 · 23 pts
85%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
85%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Manchester City
# 03 · 22 pts
94%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
94%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Aston Villa
# 04 · 21 pts
20%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
20%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Crystal Palace
# 05 · 20 pts
46%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
46%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Brighton
# 06 · 19 pts
9%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
8%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Sunderland
# 07 · 19 pts
6%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
Bournemouth
# 08 · 19 pts
4%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
Liverpool
# 09 · 18 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Tottenham
# 10 · 18 pts
27%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
27%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Manchester United
# 11 · 18 pts
7%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Everton
# 12 · 18 pts
4%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Brentford
# 13 · 16 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 26G
Newcastle
# 14 · 15 pts
5%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 26G
Fulham
# 15 · 14 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 26G
Nottingham Forest
# 16 · 12 pts
28%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 26G
West Ham
# 17 · 11 pts
36%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
36%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 26G
Leeds
# 18 · 11 pts
66%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
66%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 26G
Burnley
# 19 · 10 pts
63%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
63%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 26G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
26
W
/ 26G