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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 30 pts
91%
Champion
1st
91%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
25
W
/ 25G
Manchester City
# 02 · 25 pts
94%
Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
94%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Chelsea
# 03 · 24 pts
81%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
81%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Aston Villa
# 04 · 24 pts
26%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
26%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Brighton
# 05 · 22 pts
25%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
25%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Sunderland
# 06 · 22 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
Liverpool
# 07 · 21 pts
7%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
Manchester United
# 08 · 21 pts
17%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
17%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Crystal Palace
# 09 · 20 pts
22%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
22%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Brentford
# 10 · 19 pts
4%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Bournemouth
# 11 · 19 pts
6%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Tottenham
# 12 · 18 pts
13%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
13%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
25
W
/ 25G
Newcastle
# 13 · 18 pts
2%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Everton
# 14 · 18 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 25G
Fulham
# 15 · 17 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 25G
Nottingham Forest
# 16 · 12 pts
45%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
45%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 25G
West Ham
# 17 · 11 pts
44%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
44%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 25G
Leeds
# 18 · 11 pts
48%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
48%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 25G
Burnley
# 19 · 10 pts
61%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
61%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 25G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 25G
90% confidence
25
W
/ 25G
99% confidence
25
W
/ 25G