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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 33 pts
91%
Champion
1st
91%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
24
W
/ 24G
Manchester City
# 02 · 28 pts
96%
Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
96%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
Aston Villa
# 03 · 27 pts
59%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
59%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Chelsea
# 04 · 24 pts
58%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
58%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Crystal Palace
# 05 · 23 pts
39%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
39%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Sunderland
# 06 · 23 pts
10%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
8%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Liverpool
# 07 · 22 pts
6%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
Brighton
# 08 · 22 pts
10%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
10%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Manchester United
# 09 · 22 pts
12%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
10%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
Everton
# 10 · 21 pts
3%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Brentford
# 11 · 19 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Tottenham
# 12 · 19 pts
8%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Newcastle
# 13 · 19 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Bournemouth
# 14 · 19 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Fulham
# 15 · 17 pts
5%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
Nottingham Forest
# 16 · 15 pts
34%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
34%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
Leeds
# 17 · 14 pts
22%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
22%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
West Ham
# 18 · 12 pts
54%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
54%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
Burnley
# 19 · 10 pts
84%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
84%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 24G