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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 39 pts
65%
Champion
1st
65%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
Manchester City
# 02 · 37 pts
34%
Champion
1st
34%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
18
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
Aston Villa
# 03 · 36 pts
89%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
89%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Liverpool
# 04 · 29 pts
23%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
23%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Chelsea
# 05 · 29 pts
59%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
59%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Sunderland
# 06 · 27 pts
9%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Manchester United
# 07 · 26 pts
14%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
10%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Crystal Palace
# 08 · 26 pts
9%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Everton
# 09 · 24 pts
4%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
Brighton
# 10 · 24 pts
2%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
Brentford
# 11 · 23 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 21G
Fulham
# 12 · 23 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
Newcastle
# 13 · 23 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 21G
Tottenham
# 14 · 22 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 21G
Bournemouth
# 15 · 22 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 21G
Leeds
# 16 · 19 pts
6%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 18 pts
28%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
West Ham
# 18 · 13 pts
72%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
72%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
Burnley
# 19 · 11 pts
91%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
91%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 21G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13
W
/ 21G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 21G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 21G