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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 45 pts
69%
Champion
1st
69%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Manchester City
# 02 · 41 pts
30%
Champion
1st
30%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Aston Villa
# 03 · 39 pts
95%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Liverpool
# 04 · 33 pts
27%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
27%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Chelsea
# 05 · 30 pts
38%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
38%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Manchester United
# 06 · 30 pts
16%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
16%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Sunderland
# 07 · 29 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Everton
# 08 · 28 pts
7%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Brentford
# 09 · 27 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Fulham
# 10 · 27 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Crystal Palace
# 11 · 27 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Tottenham
# 12 · 26 pts
7%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Newcastle
# 13 · 26 pts
10%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Brighton
# 14 · 25 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
Bournemouth
# 15 · 23 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 19G
Leeds
# 16 · 21 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 18 pts
43%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
43%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
West Ham
# 18 · 14 pts
65%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
65%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Burnley
# 19 · 12 pts
90%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
90%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 19G
Wolves
# 20 · 3 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 19G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 19G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 19G