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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 49 pts
67%
Champion
1st
67%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 17G
Manchester City
# 02 · 43 pts
30%
Champion
1st
30%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
15
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 17G
Aston Villa
# 03 · 43 pts
97%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
Liverpool
# 04 · 35 pts
35%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
35%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
Brentford
# 05 · 33 pts
15%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
14%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
Newcastle
# 06 · 32 pts
18%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
17%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
Manchester United
# 07 · 32 pts
11%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
11%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 17G
Fulham
# 08 · 31 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
Chelsea
# 09 · 31 pts
15%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
15%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 17G
Sunderland
# 10 · 30 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 17G
Everton
# 11 · 29 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 17G
Brighton
# 12 · 29 pts
7%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 17G
Crystal Palace
# 13 · 28 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 17G
Tottenham
# 14 · 27 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 17G
Bournemouth
# 15 · 26 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 17G
Leeds
# 16 · 22 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 17G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 21 pts
19%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
19%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 17G
West Ham
# 18 · 14 pts
88%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
88%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 17G
Burnley
# 19 · 13 pts
93%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
93%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
Wolves
# 20 · 7 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11
W
/ 17G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 17G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 17G