Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 50 pts80%Champion
1st
80%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
16W/ 16G
Manchester City
# 02 · 43 pts18%Champion
1st
18%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
15W/ 16G
90% confidence
15W/ 16G
99% confidence
—
Aston Villa
# 03 · 43 pts92%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
92%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Liverpool
# 04 · 36 pts19%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
19%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9W/ 16G
90% confidence
10W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Manchester United
# 05 · 35 pts28%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
28%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Chelsea
# 06 · 34 pts28%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
28%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
16W/ 16G
Brentford
# 07 · 33 pts10%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
9%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Newcastle
# 08 · 33 pts15%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
11%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Sunderland
# 09 · 33 pts4%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Everton
# 10 · 32 pts4%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Fulham
# 11 · 31 pts2%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Brighton
# 12 · 30 pts3%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
16W/ 16G
Crystal Palace
# 13 · 28 pts1%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
14W/ 16G
Tottenham
# 14 · 27 pts1%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 16G
90% confidence
4W/ 16G
99% confidence
8W/ 16G
Bournemouth
# 15 · 27 pts1%Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12W/ 16G
90% confidence
14W/ 16G
99% confidence
14W/ 16G
Leeds
# 16 · 25 pts1%Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
8W/ 16G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 22 pts40%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
40%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 16G
90% confidence
6W/ 16G
99% confidence
8W/ 16G
West Ham
# 18 · 17 pts67%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
67%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
16W/ 16G
Burnley
# 19 · 14 pts92%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
92%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 16G
90% confidence
9W/ 16G
99% confidence
10W/ 16G
Wolves
# 20 · 8 pts99%Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G