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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 56 pts
80%
Champion
1st
80%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
Manchester City
# 02 · 50 pts
19%
Champion
1st
19%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
12
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
—
Aston Villa
# 03 · 47 pts
92%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
92%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
Manchester United
# 04 · 44 pts
58%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
58%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
Chelsea
# 05 · 43 pts
39%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
39%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
Brentford
# 06 · 39 pts
22%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
8%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
Liverpool
# 07 · 39 pts
8%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
Everton
# 08 · 37 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
Sunderland
# 09 · 36 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
Fulham
# 10 · 34 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
Bournemouth
# 11 · 34 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
Newcastle
# 12 · 33 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 13G
Crystal Palace
# 13 · 32 pts
3%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 13G
Brighton
# 14 · 31 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 13G
Tottenham
# 15 · 29 pts
7%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
7%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 13G
Leeds
# 16 · 29 pts
2%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 13G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 26 pts
21%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 13G
West Ham
# 18 · 23 pts
67%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
67%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
Burnley
# 19 · 15 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 13G
Wolves
# 20 · 8 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 13G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 13G