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Magic Numbers — Premier League 2025 | ProbFut
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Magic Numbers
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R29
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Magic Numbers
Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
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Premier League
Arsenal
# 01 · 66 pts
92%
Champion
1st
92%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Manchester City
# 02 · 60 pts
8%
Champion
1st
8%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Aston Villa
# 03 · 51 pts
62%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
62%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Manchester United
# 04 · 51 pts
71%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
71%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Liverpool
# 05 · 48 pts
26%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
26%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Chelsea
# 06 · 48 pts
33%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
33%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Brentford
# 07 · 44 pts
8%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
5%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Everton
# 08 · 43 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Fulham
# 09 · 40 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 9G
Sunderland
# 10 · 40 pts
1%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Bournemouth
# 11 · 40 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
—
Newcastle
# 12 · 39 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
—
Crystal Palace
# 13 · 38 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
2
W
/ 9G
Brighton
# 14 · 37 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Leeds
# 15 · 31 pts
4%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
Tottenham
# 16 · 29 pts
43%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
43%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 28 pts
19%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
19%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
West Ham
# 18 · 28 pts
33%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
33%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Burnley
# 19 · 19 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Wolves
# 20 · 15 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
