Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Liverpool
# 01 · 9 pts42%Champions League
1st
14%
UCL
42%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Chelsea
# 02 · 7 pts35%Champions League
1st
13%
UCL
35%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Arsenal
# 03 · 6 pts31%Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
31%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Tottenham
# 04 · 6 pts27%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
27%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Everton
# 05 · 6 pts25%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
25%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Sunderland
# 06 · 6 pts25%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
25%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Bournemouth
# 07 · 6 pts26%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
26%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Crystal Palace
# 08 · 5 pts29%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
29%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Manchester United
# 09 · 4 pts17%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
17%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Nottingham Forest
# 10 · 4 pts14%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
14%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Brighton
# 11 · 4 pts18%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
18%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Leeds
# 12 · 4 pts16%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
16%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Manchester City
# 13 · 3 pts15%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
15%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
23W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Burnley
# 14 · 3 pts16%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
16%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
23W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Brentford
# 15 · 3 pts16%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
16%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
23W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
West Ham
# 16 · 3 pts14%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
14%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
23W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Newcastle
# 17 · 2 pts14%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
14%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
23W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Fulham
# 18 · 2 pts11%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
11%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
23W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Aston Villa
# 19 · 1 pts6%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
32%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 35G
90% confidence
22W/ 35G
99% confidence
23W/ 35G
Wolves
# 20 · 0 pts4%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
4%
REL
37%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 35G
90% confidence
23W/ 35G
99% confidence
26W/ 35G