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R35
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Magic Numbers
Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
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Premier League
Arsenal
# 01 · 76 pts
83%
Champion
1st
83%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
2
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
Manchester City
# 02 · 71 pts
17%
Champion
1st
17%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Manchester United
# 03 · 64 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
0
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 3G
Liverpool
# 04 · 58 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
99%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
1
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 3G
Aston Villa
# 05 · 58 pts
97%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
1
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
1
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 3G
Bournemouth
# 06 · 52 pts
34%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
2
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
Brentford
# 07 · 51 pts
23%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
2
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
Brighton
# 08 · 50 pts
21%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
2
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
Fulham
# 09 · 48 pts
9%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
—
Chelsea
# 10 · 48 pts
6%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
—
Everton
# 11 · 48 pts
16%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Sunderland
# 12 · 47 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Newcastle
# 13 · 45 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Crystal Palace
# 14 · 43 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
99% confidence
0
W
/ 4G
Leeds
# 15 · 43 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 3G
Nottingham Forest
# 16 · 42 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
0
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
1
W
/ 3G
Tottenham
# 17 · 37 pts
34%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
34%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
West Ham
# 18 · 36 pts
65%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
65%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 3G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 3G
Burnley
# 19 · 20 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Wolves
# 20 · 18 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
