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Football probability analysis powered by Elo ratings, Poisson distribution & Monte Carlo simulation.

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Dashboard Standings Magic Numbers Simulator

Round 4

Premier League · 2025

Round 4

10/10 matches · round 4 of 38

4 / 38

Sat, 09/13, 11:30 AMEmirates Stadium

ARS

3 vs 0

NOT

Win 51%Draw 22%Win 27%

Sat, 09/13, 02:00 PMVitality Stadium

BOU

2 vs 1

BRI

Sat, 09/13, 02:00 PMHill Dickinson Stadium

EVE

0 vs 0

AST

Win 50%Draw 22%Win 29%

Sat, 09/13, 04:30 PMLondon Stadium

WES

0 vs 3

TOT

Win 48%Draw 22%Win 30%

Sat, 09/13, 02:00 PMSelhurst Park

CRY

0 vs 0

SUN

Win 47%Draw 22%Win 31%

Sat, 09/13, 02:00 PMSt. James' Park

NEW

1 vs 0

WOL

Win 51%Draw 22%Win 28%

Sat, 09/13, 02:00 PMCraven Cottage

FUL

1 vs 0

LEE

Win 47%Draw 22%Win 31%

Win 38%Draw 23%Win 39%

Sat, 09/13, 07:00 PMBrentford Community Stadium

BRE

2 vs 2

CHE

Win 41%Draw 23%Win 36%

Sun, 09/14, 01:00 PMTurf Moor

BUR

0 vs 1

LIV

Win 40%Draw 23%Win 37%

Sun, 09/14, 03:30 PMEtihad Stadium

MCI

3 vs 0

MUN

Win 49%Draw 22%Win 30%