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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Liverpool
# 01 · 15 pts
58%
Champions League
1st
25%
UCL
58%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
Arsenal
# 02 · 10 pts
33%
Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
33%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
Tottenham
# 03 · 10 pts
39%
Champions League
1st
13%
UCL
39%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
Bournemouth
# 04 · 10 pts
31%
Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
31%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
Crystal Palace
# 05 · 9 pts
28%
Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
28%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Chelsea
# 06 · 8 pts
28%
Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
28%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Sunderland
# 07 · 8 pts
23%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
23%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Fulham
# 08 · 8 pts
20%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
20%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Manchester City
# 09 · 7 pts
23%
Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
23%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Everton
# 10 · 7 pts
17%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
17%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Manchester United
# 11 · 7 pts
16%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
16%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Leeds
# 12 · 7 pts
19%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
19%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Newcastle
# 13 · 6 pts
15%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
15%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Brighton
# 14 · 5 pts
13%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
24
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
24
W
/ 33G
Nottingham Forest
# 15 · 5 pts
9%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
9%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Burnley
# 16 · 4 pts
9%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
9%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
Brentford
# 17 · 4 pts
7%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
7%
REL
24%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
West Ham
# 18 · 3 pts
5%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
33%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
24
W
/ 33G
Aston Villa
# 19 · 3 pts
8%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
8%
REL
27%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
24
W
/ 33G
Wolves
# 20 · 0 pts
1%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
53%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22
W
/ 33G
90% confidence
24
W
/ 33G
99% confidence
24
W
/ 33G