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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 22 pts
89%
Champions League
1st
45%
UCL
89%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
Bournemouth
# 02 · 18 pts
46%
Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
46%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
Tottenham
# 03 · 17 pts
74%
Champions League
1st
27%
UCL
74%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
Sunderland
# 04 · 17 pts
18%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
18%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Manchester City
# 05 · 16 pts
46%
Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
46%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Manchester United
# 06 · 16 pts
26%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
26%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Liverpool
# 07 · 15 pts
21%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
21%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
Aston Villa
# 08 · 15 pts
13%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
13%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Chelsea
# 09 · 14 pts
11%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Brentford
# 10 · 13 pts
12%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
12%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Crystal Palace
# 11 · 13 pts
24%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
24%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Newcastle
# 12 · 12 pts
5%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Brighton
# 13 · 12 pts
7%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
7%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Everton
# 14 · 11 pts
3%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Leeds
# 15 · 11 pts
4%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
8%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Burnley
# 16 · 10 pts
26%
Escape Relegation
1st
1%
UCL
1%
REL
26%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 29G
Fulham
# 17 · 8 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
30%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 29G
Nottingham Forest
# 18 · 5 pts
65%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
65%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 29G
West Ham
# 19 · 4 pts
50%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
50%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 29G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
83%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
83%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13
W
/ 29G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 29G
99% confidence
29
W
/ 29G