ProbFut
AI Insight • Round 5

Premier League

Season 2026/27 · Round 5

Manchester City opened a 3-point lead at the Premier League summit with a 5-3 victory over Sunderland, increasing their title probability to 15% after Arsenal suffered a 3-0 defeat at Brighton. The Citizens stand as the only club with a flawless record through 5 rounds, while the Gunners saw their championship chances dip to 10%.

Race Overview

Unified Standings

#TeamPts1st
Champion
UCL
Champions League
EL
Europa League
ECL
Conference League
REL
Escape Relegation
01
Manchester CityManchester City1525/3319/3317/3316/337/33
02
ArsenalArsenal1227/3319/3318/3317/338/33
03
BrightonBrighton1027/3320/3319/3318/339/33
04
BrentfordBrentford928/3321/3319/3318/339/33
05
LeedsLeeds928/3321/3319/3318/339/33
06
LiverpoolLiverpool928/3321/3319/3318/339/33
07
EvertonEverton928/3321/3320/3318/339/33
08
Hull CityHull City828/3321/3320/3319/3310/33
09
NewcastleNewcastle828/3321/3320/3319/3310/33
10
ChelseaChelsea728/3321/3320/3319/3310/33
11
IpswichIpswich629/3322/3320/3319/3310/33
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United529/3322/3321/3320/3311/33
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest529/3322/3321/3320/3311/33
14
SunderlandSunderland429/3322/3321/3320/3311/33
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace429/3322/3321/3320/3311/33
16
Aston VillaAston Villa429/3322/3321/3320/3311/33
17
CoventryCoventry330/3322/3321/3320/3311/33
18
BournemouthBournemouth330/3323/3321/3320/3311/33
19
FulhamFulham230/3323/3322/3321/3312/33
20
TottenhamTottenham230/3323/3322/3321/3312/33
Champion (G1)
Champions League (G5)
Europa League (6)
Conference League (7)
Escape Relegation (Z3)
Guaranteed!
Out of reach

Round 6

Round 6
Sat, 10/10, 11:30 AMEmirates Stadium
ArsenalARS
vs
LeedsLEE
Win 47%Draw 22%Win 31%
Sat, 10/10, 02:00 PMStadium of Light
SunderlandSUN
vs
BrightonBRI
Win 39%Draw 23%Win 38%
Sat, 10/10, 02:00 PMPortman Road
IpswichIPS
vs
FulhamFUL
Win 47%Draw 22%Win 31%
Sat, 10/10, 02:00 PMStamford Bridge
ChelseaCHE
vs
BournemouthBOU
Win 47%Draw 22%Win 31%
Sat, 10/10, 02:00 PMVilla Park
Aston VillaAST
vs
BrentfordBRE
Win 41%Draw 23%Win 36%
Sat, 10/10, 04:30 PMOld Trafford
Manchester UnitedMUN
vs
TottenhamTOT
Win 50%Draw 22%Win 28%
Sun, 10/11, 01:00 PMSelhurst Park
Crystal PalaceCRY
vs
Nottingham ForestNOT
Win 44%Draw 22%Win 33%
Sun, 10/11, 01:00 PMMKM Stadium
Hull CityHUL
vs
EvertonEVE
Win 45%Draw 22%Win 32%
Sun, 10/11, 03:30 PMAnfield
LiverpoolLIV
vs
Manchester CityMCI
Win 43%Draw 23%Win 35%
Mon, 10/12, 07:00 PMCoventry Building Society Arena
CoventryCOV
vs
NewcastleNEW
Win 41%Draw 23%Win 37%
See full round