ProbFut
Live projections

The Kinetic
Ledger.

Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.

Arsenal

# 01 · 12 pts
42%Champions League
1st
12%
UCL
42%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Manchester City

# 02 · 12 pts
41%Champions League
1st
12%
UCL
41%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Leeds

# 03 · 8 pts
31%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
31%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Hull City

# 04 · 8 pts
30%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
30%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Brighton

# 05 · 7 pts
31%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
31%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Chelsea

# 06 · 7 pts
28%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
28%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Ipswich

# 07 · 6 pts
24%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
24%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Brentford

# 08 · 6 pts
27%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
27%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Liverpool

# 09 · 6 pts
27%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
27%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Everton

# 10 · 6 pts
27%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
27%
REL
13%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Nottingham Forest

# 11 · 5 pts
23%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
23%
REL
15%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Newcastle

# 12 · 5 pts
24%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
24%
REL
15%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 34G
90% confidence
23W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Manchester United

# 13 · 4 pts
22%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
22%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Sunderland

# 14 · 4 pts
21%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
21%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Crystal Palace

# 15 · 3 pts
18%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
18%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Bournemouth

# 16 · 3 pts
21%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
21%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
25W/ 34G

Tottenham

# 17 · 2 pts
17%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
17%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G

Fulham

# 18 · 1 pts
16%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
16%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
24W/ 34G
90% confidence
24W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G

Aston Villa

# 19 · 1 pts
16%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
16%
REL
23%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
24W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G

Coventry

# 20 · 0 pts
13%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
13%
REL
28%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
24W/ 34G
90% confidence
25W/ 34G
99% confidence
29W/ 34G