ProbFut
Live projections

The Kinetic
Ledger.

Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.

Manchester City

# 01 · 15 pts
47%Champions League
1st
15%
UCL
47%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 33G
90% confidence
19W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Arsenal

# 02 · 12 pts
39%Champions League
1st
10%
UCL
39%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19W/ 33G
90% confidence
20W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Brighton

# 03 · 10 pts
37%Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
37%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
20W/ 33G
90% confidence
24W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Brentford

# 04 · 9 pts
31%Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
31%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Leeds

# 05 · 9 pts
30%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
30%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Liverpool

# 06 · 9 pts
31%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
31%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Everton

# 07 · 9 pts
29%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
29%
REL
10%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
21W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Hull City

# 08 · 8 pts
28%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
28%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
22W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Newcastle

# 09 · 8 pts
27%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
27%
REL
12%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
22W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Chelsea

# 10 · 7 pts
25%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
25%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
21W/ 33G
90% confidence
22W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Ipswich

# 11 · 6 pts
21%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
21%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 33G
90% confidence
22W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Manchester United

# 12 · 5 pts
22%Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
22%
REL
16%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 33G
90% confidence
24W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Nottingham Forest

# 13 · 5 pts
19%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
19%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 33G
90% confidence
24W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Sunderland

# 14 · 4 pts
18%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
18%
REL
19%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 33G
90% confidence
24W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Crystal Palace

# 15 · 4 pts
17%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
17%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 33G
90% confidence
24W/ 33G
99% confidence
24W/ 33G

Aston Villa

# 16 · 4 pts
18%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
18%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 33G
90% confidence
24W/ 33G
99% confidence
28W/ 33G

Coventry

# 17 · 3 pts
15%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
15%
REL
24%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
22W/ 33G
90% confidence
24W/ 33G
99% confidence
28W/ 33G

Bournemouth

# 18 · 3 pts
17%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
17%
REL
21%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 33G
90% confidence
23W/ 33G
99% confidence
28W/ 33G

Fulham

# 19 · 2 pts
14%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
14%
REL
24%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 33G
90% confidence
24W/ 33G
99% confidence
28W/ 33G

Tottenham

# 20 · 2 pts
13%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
13%
REL
27%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
23W/ 33G
90% confidence
24W/ 33G
99% confidence
28W/ 33G