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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 25 pts
96%
Champion
1st
96%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
19
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
28
W
/ 28G
Manchester City
# 02 · 19 pts
95%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
Liverpool
# 03 · 18 pts
31%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
31%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
Sunderland
# 04 · 18 pts
13%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
13%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 28G
Bournemouth
# 05 · 18 pts
28%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
28%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
Tottenham
# 06 · 17 pts
61%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
61%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 28G
Chelsea
# 07 · 17 pts
31%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
31%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 28G
Manchester United
# 08 · 17 pts
13%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
13%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 28G
Crystal Palace
# 09 · 16 pts
22%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
22%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
Brighton
# 10 · 15 pts
6%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
6%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 28G
Aston Villa
# 11 · 15 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 28G
Brentford
# 12 · 13 pts
1%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
19
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
Newcastle
# 13 · 12 pts
3%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 28G
Everton
# 14 · 12 pts
2%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 28G
Fulham
# 15 · 11 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 28G
Leeds
# 16 · 11 pts
18%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
18%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 28G
Burnley
# 17 · 10 pts
13%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 28G
West Ham
# 18 · 7 pts
70%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
70%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 28G
Nottingham Forest
# 19 · 6 pts
94%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
94%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 28G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 28G