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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 33 pts
80%
Champion
1st
80%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
23
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 23G
Manchester City
# 02 · 31 pts
97%
Champions League
1st
19%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
Aston Villa
# 03 · 30 pts
67%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
67%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Crystal Palace
# 04 · 26 pts
40%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
40%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Chelsea
# 05 · 25 pts
41%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
41%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Manchester United
# 06 · 25 pts
19%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
19%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Everton
# 07 · 24 pts
8%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
8%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Liverpool
# 08 · 23 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Brighton
# 09 · 23 pts
5%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Sunderland
# 10 · 23 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Tottenham
# 11 · 22 pts
13%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
13%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 23G
Newcastle
# 12 · 22 pts
4%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Bournemouth
# 13 · 20 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
Brentford
# 14 · 19 pts
1%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
23
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
23
W
/ 23G
Fulham
# 15 · 17 pts
4%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
Leeds
# 16 · 15 pts
19%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
19%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 15 pts
54%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
54%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
West Ham
# 18 · 13 pts
40%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
40%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
Burnley
# 19 · 10 pts
83%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
83%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 23G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 23G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 23G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 23G