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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 36 pts
63%
Champion
1st
63%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
19
W
/ 22G
Manchester City
# 02 · 34 pts
34%
Champion
1st
34%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
18
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 22G
Aston Villa
# 03 · 33 pts
82%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
82%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 22G
Chelsea
# 04 · 28 pts
68%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
68%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
Liverpool
# 05 · 26 pts
13%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
9%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
Crystal Palace
# 06 · 26 pts
17%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
16%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
Manchester United
# 07 · 26 pts
15%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
12%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
Sunderland
# 08 · 26 pts
8%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
Everton
# 09 · 24 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
Brighton
# 10 · 23 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
Tottenham
# 11 · 22 pts
6%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 22G
Newcastle
# 12 · 22 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
Bournemouth
# 13 · 21 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 22G
Fulham
# 14 · 20 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
2%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 22G
Brentford
# 15 · 20 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 22G
Nottingham Forest
# 16 · 18 pts
25%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
25%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 22G
Leeds
# 17 · 16 pts
20%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
20%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 22G
West Ham
# 18 · 13 pts
58%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
58%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 22G
Burnley
# 19 · 10 pts
93%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
93%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
22
W
/ 22G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13
W
/ 22G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 22G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 22G