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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 42 pts
57%
Champion
1st
57%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
Manchester City
# 02 · 40 pts
41%
Champion
1st
41%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
Aston Villa
# 03 · 39 pts
96%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
96%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Liverpool
# 04 · 32 pts
28%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
28%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Chelsea
# 05 · 29 pts
43%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
43%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Manchester United
# 06 · 29 pts
18%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
14%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Sunderland
# 07 · 28 pts
7%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Brentford
# 08 · 26 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Fulham
# 09 · 26 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Crystal Palace
# 10 · 26 pts
6%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Tottenham
# 11 · 25 pts
8%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Everton
# 12 · 25 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Brighton
# 13 · 24 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
Newcastle
# 14 · 23 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
Bournemouth
# 15 · 22 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 20G
Leeds
# 16 · 20 pts
3%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 18 pts
32%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
32%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
West Ham
# 18 · 13 pts
76%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
76%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
Burnley
# 19 · 12 pts
88%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
88%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 20G
Wolves
# 20 · 2 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 20G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 20G