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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 48 pts
79%
Champion
1st
79%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
Manchester City
# 02 · 42 pts
20%
Champion
1st
20%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
16
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
Aston Villa
# 03 · 42 pts
97%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 18G
Liverpool
# 04 · 34 pts
27%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
27%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
Chelsea
# 05 · 31 pts
34%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
34%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
Manchester United
# 06 · 31 pts
14%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
12%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
Brentford
# 07 · 30 pts
11%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
7%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
Sunderland
# 08 · 30 pts
6%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
Newcastle
# 09 · 29 pts
12%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
11%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
Fulham
# 10 · 28 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
Everton
# 11 · 28 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
Brighton
# 12 · 28 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
Tottenham
# 13 · 27 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 18G
Crystal Palace
# 14 · 27 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 18G
Bournemouth
# 15 · 23 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 18G
Leeds
# 16 · 22 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 18G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 18 pts
31%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
31%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 18G
West Ham
# 18 · 14 pts
79%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
79%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
Burnley
# 19 · 12 pts
89%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
89%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 18G
Wolves
# 20 · 6 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11
W
/ 18G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 18G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 18G