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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 53 pts
85%
Champion
1st
85%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
9
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 14G
Manchester City
# 02 · 47 pts
13%
Champion
1st
13%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
13
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
—
Aston Villa
# 03 · 46 pts
95%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
Manchester United
# 04 · 41 pts
55%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
55%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 14G
Chelsea
# 05 · 40 pts
31%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
31%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
Liverpool
# 06 · 39 pts
21%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
11%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
Brentford
# 07 · 36 pts
11%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
Sunderland
# 08 · 36 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
Fulham
# 09 · 34 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
Everton
# 10 · 34 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
Newcastle
# 11 · 33 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
Bournemouth
# 12 · 33 pts
3%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
Brighton
# 13 · 31 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 14G
Tottenham
# 14 · 29 pts
3%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 14G
Crystal Palace
# 15 · 29 pts
4%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 14G
Nottingham Forest
# 16 · 26 pts
8%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
8%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 14G
Leeds
# 17 · 26 pts
3%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 14G
West Ham
# 18 · 20 pts
82%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
82%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 14G
Burnley
# 19 · 15 pts
98%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
98%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 14G
Wolves
# 20 · 8 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11
W
/ 14G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 14G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 14G