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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 57 pts
75%
Champion
1st
75%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
Manchester City
# 02 · 53 pts
24%
Champion
1st
24%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
11
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
—
Aston Villa
# 03 · 50 pts
95%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
Manchester United
# 04 · 45 pts
57%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
57%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
Chelsea
# 05 · 44 pts
33%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
32%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
Liverpool
# 06 · 42 pts
18%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
9%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
Brentford
# 07 · 40 pts
17%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
8%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
Everton
# 08 · 37 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
Bournemouth
# 09 · 37 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
Newcastle
# 10 · 36 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
Sunderland
# 11 · 36 pts
1%
Champions League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
—
Fulham
# 12 · 34 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 12G
Crystal Palace
# 13 · 32 pts
5%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
Brighton
# 14 · 31 pts
2%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
Leeds
# 15 · 30 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
Tottenham
# 16 · 29 pts
11%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
11%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 27 pts
30%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
30%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
West Ham
# 18 · 24 pts
54%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
54%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
Burnley
# 19 · 18 pts
97%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
97%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 12G
Wolves
# 20 · 9 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 12G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 12G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 12G