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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Arsenal
# 01 · 60 pts
81%
Champion
1st
81%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
8
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
Manchester City
# 02 · 56 pts
19%
Champion
1st
19%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
—
Aston Villa
# 03 · 51 pts
91%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
91%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 11G
Manchester United
# 04 · 48 pts
68%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
68%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 11G
Liverpool
# 05 · 45 pts
30%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
13%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 11G
Chelsea
# 06 · 45 pts
30%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
26%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 11G
Brentford
# 07 · 40 pts
9%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
Bournemouth
# 08 · 38 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
Fulham
# 09 · 37 pts
2%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
Everton
# 10 · 37 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
Newcastle
# 11 · 36 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
Sunderland
# 12 · 36 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 11G
Crystal Palace
# 13 · 35 pts
2%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 11G
Brighton
# 14 · 34 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 11G
Leeds
# 15 · 31 pts
1%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 11G
Tottenham
# 16 · 29 pts
15%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
15%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 11G
Nottingham Forest
# 17 · 27 pts
29%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
29%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
West Ham
# 18 · 25 pts
55%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
55%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
Burnley
# 19 · 19 pts
98%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
98%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 11G
Wolves
# 20 · 9 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10
W
/ 11G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 11G
99% confidence
—